Baseball Prospectus Tears Down Verducci Effect

Good stuff from Russell Carleton from Baseball Prospectus debunking the Verducci Effect, which trys to predict pitcher injuries based on increased innings pitched.

Here is my favorite paragraph:

"The Verducci Effect is a case of speculation mixed with a really poor understanding of the scientific method, and that is a dangerous combination. It gives the illusion of knowledge, and that's more dangerous than simply not knowing something. It's tempting to want to grab onto the Verducci explanation, especially when a young pitcher with so much promise suffers such a large setback, because a wrong explanation feels better than no explanation."

Baseball Prospectus | Baseball Therapy: Fact or Fiction: The Verducci Effect